Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-2 (7.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.