Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 30
May 4, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
0 - 2
Paksi SE


Lucas Simut (14'), Stefanelli (43'), Milicevic (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bode (44'), Otvos (81')
Otvos (59')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and Paksi SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Puskas Academy 3-1 Fehervar
Saturday, April 26 at 2.15pm in Hungarian NB I

Paksi SE

All competitions
Last Game: Gyor 2-0 Paksi SE
Saturday, April 26 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.

Result
FehervarDrawPaksi SE
32.77% (-0.108 -0.11)25.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)41.93% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (0.043999999999997 0.04)47.68% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)69.88% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)27.69% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)63.25% (0.061 0.06)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.079999999999998 0.08)22.65% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.119 0.12)56.28% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 32.77%
    Paksi SE 41.93%
    Draw 25.29%
FehervarDrawPaksi SE
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.77%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.93%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 19
Paksi SE
2-0
Fehervar
Lenzser (56'), Bode (90+2')
Lenzser (80')

Lucas Simut (60')
Sep 29, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Fehervar
1-2
Paksi SE
Holender (45')
Larsen (18'), Peto (19'), Milicevic (41'), Holender (71'), Kalmar (84')
Larsen (77')
Otvos (76' pen.), Zimonyi (90+6')
Otvos (38'), Gyorfi (65'), Kinyik (83')
Apr 13, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Paksi SE
1-2
Fehervar
Balogh (84')
Lenzser (90+7')
Karamoko (23', 54')
Toth (79'), Fiola (90+7')
Csongvai (46')
Dec 16, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 17
Fehervar
3-0
Paksi SE
Katona (1'), Kodro (19', 68')
Christensen (45'), Kodro (59')

Vas (30'), Mezei (58'), Beke (82'), Kovacs (87'), Bode (90+4')
Sep 2, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 6
Paksi SE
2-0
Fehervar
Windecker (53'), Mezei (73')
Kovacs (8'), Windecker (38'), Lenzser (52')

Christensen (44'), Serafimov (56'), Karamoko (63')
rhs 2.0


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