Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 27
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion

MTK
1 - 2
Paksi SE

Bognar (75')
Gey (27'), Molnar (36'), Kosznovszky (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vecsei (3'), Toth (37'), Bode (77')
Szabo (45+2')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Paksi SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 MTK
Sunday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Paksi SE

All competitions
Last Game: Paksi SE 2-0 Nyiregyhaza
Saturday, April 5 at 4pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MTK had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paksi SE in this match.

Result
MTKDrawPaksi SE
35.42% (-0.067 -0.07)24.83% (0.013000000000002 0.01)39.75% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)45.02% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)67.37% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)24.84% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)59.44% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.55% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)56.14% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MTK 35.42%
    Paksi SE 39.75%
    Draw 24.83%
MTKDrawPaksi SE
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.42%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.75%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 16
Paksi SE
4-2
MTK
Toth (8'), Bode (63', 66'), Windecker (73')
Kinyik (20'), Bor (55')
Jurina (15', 39')
Kata (7'), Antonov (27'), Molnar (32'), Kovacs (71'), Horvath (87')
Dec 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 5
MTK
3-1
Paksi SE
Jurina (15'), Gey (68'), Varju (78')
Kata (45+1'), Varju (88')
Toth (17')
Vecsei (54')
Mar 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
MTK
0-2
Paksi SE

Gey (2'), Kata (56')
Bode (72', 87')
Szabo (37'), Szabo (90+2')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Paksi SE
0-0
MTK
Hahn (52')
Kata (61'), Bognar (70')
Jul 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
MTK
1-1
Paksi SE
Nemeth (49')
Kata (38'), Bobal (43'), Gey (75')
Bode (65')
Papp (3'), Bole (69'), Vas (77')