Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MTK had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest MTK win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paksi SE in this match.