Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 28
Apr 20, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
MOL Arena Sosto (Szekesfehervar)

Fehervar
1 - 1
MTK

Stefanelli (75')
Katona (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jurina (81')
Kadar (28'), Varju (63')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Fehervar and MTK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fehervar

All competitions
Last Game: Nyiregyhaza 1-0 Fehervar
Sunday, April 13 at 6pm in Hungarian NB I

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: MTK 1-2 Paksi SE
Friday, April 11 at 7.30pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
FehervarDrawMTK
32.66% (-0.196 -0.2)24.91% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)42.44% (0.267 0.27)
Both teams to score 57.21% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (0.257 0.26)46% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (0.241 0.24)68.3% (-0.242 -0.24)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)26.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)62.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32% (0.23399999999999 0.23)21.68% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.357 0.36)54.83% (-0.358 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Fehervar 32.66%
    MTK 42.44%
    Draw 24.91%
FehervarDrawMTK
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.56% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.03 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 42.44%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 11am
Gameweek 17
MTK
3-2
Fehervar
Vegh (27'), Jurina (85'), Molnar (90+6' pen.)
Stieber (23'), Molnar (57'), Kosznovszky (60'), Molnar (90+8')
Gradisar (2'), Szabo (68')
Holender (73'), Lucas Simut (79'), Spandler (81'), Nagy (90+4')
Aug 30, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Fehervar
1-0
MTK
Gradisar (45+1')

Varju (42'), Molnar (86')
May 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 31
Fehervar
4-0
MTK
Katona (23'), Christensen (32'), Csongvai (40'), Peto (77')

Kadar (10')
Feb 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 20
MTK
0-2
Fehervar

Kata (20'), Gey (73')
Toth (15'), Stefanelli (25')
Oct 8, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Fehervar
3-0
MTK
Katona (45+1'), Kalmar (54', 89')
Fiola (34'), Serafimov (40'), Gergenyi (68')

Thiam (16')
Kadar (19'), Thiam (43')
rhs 2.0


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