Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.