Europa League
Jul 16, 2026 9.00pm
AVIS völlurinn

Vestri vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vestri

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Vestri

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Qarabag 3 - 0 Vestri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 57.97%. A win for Vestri has a probability of 24.45% and a draw has a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.29%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Vestri win is 2-1 (5.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.49%).

Result

Vestri 24.45% (-1.36)
Draw 17.59% (-0.52)
Qarabag FK 57.97% (+1.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.18% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 89.59% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 10.41% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 74.75% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 25.25% (-0.63)
Over 3.5 55.32% (+1.03)
Under 3.5 44.68% (-1.00)
Over 4.5 40.69% (+1.44)
Under 4.5 59.31% (-1.44)

First Half Winner

Vestri 16% (-2.54)
Draw 29.57% (-4.33)
Qarabag FK 54.44% (+6.87)

Team To Score First

Vestri 30.37% (-2.84)
No Goal 2.41% (-0.03)
Qarabag FK 67.22% (+2.86)

Corners

Over 8 63.24% (-2.34)
Equal 8 10.11% (+0.19)
Under 8 26.65% (+2.15)
Over 9 52.49% (-2.36)
Equal 9 10.75% (+0.02)
Under 9 36.76% (+2.34)
Over 10.5 41.94% (-2.22)
Under 10.5 58.06% (+2.22)

Vestri Goals

Over 1.5 34.39% (-1.94)
Under 1.5 65.61% (+1.94)
Over 2.5 16.62% (-0.99)
Under 2.5 83.38% (+0.99)
Over 3.5 7.01% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 92.99% (+0.48)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 15.94% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 64.84% (+1.68)
Under 1.5 35.16% (-1.68)
Over 2.5 42.23% (+2.09)
Under 2.5 57.77% (-2.09)
Over 3.5 24.54% (+2.72)
Under 3.5 75.46% (-2.72)

Score analysis

Vestri 24.45%
Draw 17.59%
Qarabag FK 57.96%
Vestri
2-1 @ 5.2% (-0.21)
1-0 @ 3.12% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.23)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.05)
Other @ 6.35% (-0.48)
Total : 24.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.49% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.36% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.66% (-0.02)
Total : 17.59%
Qarabag FK
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.22)
1-3 @ 6.29% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.83% (+0.21)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.30)
0-3 @ 4.67% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.37% (-0.47)
Other @ 23.88% (+2.72)
Total : 57.96%

Head to Head

Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
  • Zakaria Sawo 30' goal
  • Abdellah Zoubir 45'+2' goal
  • R. Cephas 86' goal
  • yellowcard S. Fall 2'