Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))
  • Zakaria Sawo 30' goal
  • Abdellah Zoubir 45'+2' goal
  • R. Cephas 86' goal
  • yellowcard S. Fall 2'

Qarabag FK vs Vestri - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Vestri

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 56.5%. A win for Vestri had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Vestri win was 1-2 (5.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Qarabag FK 56.5% (-0.47)
Draw 21.52% (+0.58)
Vestri 21.98% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.84% (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.47% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 18.53% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 60.98% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 39.02% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 38.59% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 61.41% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 25.2% (+0.52)
Under 4.5 74.8% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 48.77% (-0.70)
Draw 32.06% (+0.39)
Vestri 19.16% (+0.33)

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 61.38% (-1.10)
No Goal 5% (+0.13)
Vestri 33.62% (+0.97)

Corners

Over 8 68.46% (+0.26)
Equal 8 9.46% (+0.12)
Under 8 22.08% (-0.38)
Over 9 57.98% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.48% (+0.16)
Under 9 31.54% (-0.27)
Over 10.5 47.27% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 52.73% (+0.05)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 57.23% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 42.77% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 31.75% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 68.25% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 15.25% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 84.75% (-0.57)

Vestri Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 42.38% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 27.74% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 72.26% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 10.08% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 89.92% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 3.21% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.79% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 56.5%
Draw 21.52%
Vestri 21.98%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.20)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.15)
Other @ 14.97% (+0.48)
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.36% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.10)
Total : 21.52%
Vestri
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.93% (+0.05)
Total : 21.98%