Europa League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku))

Qarabag FK vs Vestri - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Vestri

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 56.96%. A win for Vestri has a probability of 22.14% and a draw has a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Vestri win is 1-2 (5.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.19%).

Result

Qarabag FK 56.96% (-0.09)
Draw 20.94% (+0.04)
Vestri 22.14% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.7% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 38.26% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.74% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 24.68% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.32% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 49.47%
Draw 31.68% (-0.02)
Vestri 18.84%

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 62.48%
No Goal 4.87%
Vestri 32.65%

Corners

Over 8 68.2% (+0.13)
Equal 8 9.35% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.45% (-0.11)
Over 9 57.87% (+0.12)
Equal 9 10.33%
Under 9 31.8% (-0.13)
Over 10.5 47.32% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 52.68% (-0.11)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 57.2% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 42.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 31.67% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 68.33% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 14.69% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 85.31% (+0.07)

Vestri Goals

Over 0.5 57.77% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 42.23% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 27.61% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 72.39% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 9.82% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.18% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.08%
Under 3.5 96.92%

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 56.96%
Draw 20.93%
Vestri 22.14%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.84% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 14.5% (-0.06)
Total : 56.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 20.93%
Vestri
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.19% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.89% (+0.02)
Total : 22.14%