Europa League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu

Qarabag FK vs CSKA Sofia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

All competitions

CSKA Sofia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for CSKA Sofia has a probability of 30.29% and a draw has a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win is 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.92%).

Result

Qarabag FK 45.82% (-2.16)
Draw 23.89% (+0.32)
CSKA Sofia 30.29% (+1.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 20.92% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 56.91% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 43.09% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 33.36% (-1.28)
Under 3.5 66.64% (+1.27)
Over 4.5 20% (-1.02)
Under 4.5 80% (+1.02)

First Half Winner

Qarabag FK 32.37% (-1.04)
Draw 41.91% (+0.41)
CSKA Sofia 25.71% (+0.63)

Team To Score First

Qarabag FK 51.22% (-1.99)
No Goal 5.74% (+0.17)
CSKA Sofia 43.04% (+1.82)

Corners

Over 8 59.45% (+2.03)
Equal 8 10.83% (-0.08)
Under 8 29.72% (-1.96)
Over 9 48.28% (+1.93)
Equal 9 11.17% (+0.10)
Under 9 40.55% (-2.03)
Over 10.5 37.66% (+1.68)
Under 10.5 62.34% (-1.68)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 1.5 46.58% (-2.28)
Under 1.5 53.42% (+2.28)
Over 2.5 22.37% (-1.97)
Under 2.5 77.63% (+1.97)
Over 3.5 8.66% (-0.96)
Under 3.5 91.34% (+0.97)

CSKA Sofia Goals

Over 0.5 65.75% (+1.41)
Under 0.5 34.25% (-1.40)
Over 1.5 34.34% (+1.18)
Under 1.5 65.66% (-1.18)
Over 2.5 13.68% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 86.32% (-0.65)
Over 3.5 4.6% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 95.4% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Qarabag FK 45.82%
Draw 23.89%
CSKA Sofia 30.3%
Qarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.3% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.42)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.21)
Other @ 8.46% (-0.87)
Total : 45.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.92% (+0.41)
0-0 @ 5.74% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.09)
Total : 23.89%
CSKA Sofia
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.40)
0-1 @ 6.38% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 4.29% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 2.94% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.39)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.4% (+0.35)
Total : 30.3%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jun 27, 2026 4.00pm
Stadion Vasil Levski