COSAFA Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 11, 2025 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Thatayaone Kgamanyane 2' goal
  • 24' yellowcard
  • 32' goal
  • Botsile Tiroyaone Sakana 40' yellowcard
  • 60' goal
  • Mothusi Johnson 87' yellowcard
  • goal Charles Zulu 45'+3'
  • goal 52'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • goal 90'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'

Botswana vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

All competitions
Last game
Jun 9, 2025 5.00pm
Comoros 0 - 0 Botswana

Zambia

All competitions
Last game
Jun 6, 2025 5.00pm
Zambia 0 - 1 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botswana win with a probability of 45.72%. A draw has a probability of 28.7% and a win for Zambia has a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Zambia win it is 0-1 (10.18%).

Result

Botswana 45.72% (-0.50)
Draw 28.73% (+0.19)
Zambia 25.55% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.08% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.46% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 63.54% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 17.14% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 82.85% (+0.28)
Over 4.5 6.75% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 93.25% (+0.16)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 72.09% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 27.9% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 36.48% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 63.52% (+0.58)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 58.37% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.63% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 21.89% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 78.11% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Botswana 45.71%
Draw 28.72%
Zambia 25.55%
Botswana
1-0 @ 14.82% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 11.61% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.72%
Zambia
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 5.69% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.46% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 12, 2022 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Princess Magogo Stadium
  • Tebogo Kopelang 10' goal
  • Kelvin Kapumbu 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alford Velaphi 41'
  • goal Kitso Mangolo 52'
  • yellowcard Thato Kebue 55'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wolfson Stadium
  • Justin Shonga 21' goal
  • Benson Sakala 41' yellowcard
  • Simon Silwimba 56' yellowcard
  • Moses Phiri 71' yellowcard
  • Justin Shonga 83' goal
  • yellowcard Tumisang Orebonye 47'
  • goal Thatayaone Kgamanyane 62'
  • yellowcard Mothusi Johnson 64'