Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 30, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Union Espanola
4 - 0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Aranguiz (17', 17', 58', 58'), Uribe (49', 49'), Vejar (78', 78')
Naranjo (72'), Naranjo (72'), Jeraldino (76'), Jeraldino (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arismendi (27'), Arismendi (27'), Hector Seimandi (64'), Hector Seimandi (64')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Union Espanola and Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Espanola

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Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Union Espanola
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Gualberto Villarroel SJ

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Last Game: Once Caldas 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Friday, May 16 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Espanola would win this match.

Result
Union EspanolaDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
66.47% (0.61999999999999 0.62)18.45% (-0.258 -0.26)15.08% (-0.363 -0.36)
Both teams to score 57.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.45% (0.46899999999999 0.47)35.55% (-0.468 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.4% (0.517 0.52)57.6% (-0.517 -0.52)
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (0.28 0.28)9.93% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.14% (0.64699999999999 0.65)32.86% (-0.647 -0.65)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)36.43% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (-0.166 -0.17)73.22% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Union Espanola 66.47%
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 15.08%
    Draw 18.45%
Union EspanolaDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.43% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.33% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 4.29% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.035 0.03)
5-1 @ 2% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.073 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.01% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 66.47%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.65% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 15.08%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1-1
Union Espanola
Lopez Pissano (88')
Vargas (67')
Antonio Nunez Estrada (82')
Diaz (70')