Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Espanola would win this match.