Copa Libertadores
Aug 12, 2026 1.30am
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Estudiantes vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions

Universidad Catolica

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estudiantes win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Universidad Catolica has a probability of 36.3% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win is 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.75%).

Result

Estudiantes 38.13% (-0.56)
Draw 25.6% (-0.02)
Universidad Catolica 36.3% (+0.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 25.16% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.47% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 48.53% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.22% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.78% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 17.85% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 82.15% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 28.89%
Draw 45.2% (-0.02)
Universidad Catolica 25.91% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 47.15% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.33% (-0.01)
Universidad Catolica 45.52%

Corners

Over 8 50.86% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 37% (-0.01)
Over 9 39.15%
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.14% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 28.79%
Under 10.5 71.21%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 38.26% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 61.74% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 16.2% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 83.8% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 5.74% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 94.26% (+0.25)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 30.83% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 36.64% (+0.46)
Under 1.5 63.36% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 15.48% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 84.52% (-0.36)
Over 3.5 5.77% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 94.23% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Estudiantes 38.13%
Draw 25.61%
Universidad Catolica 36.3%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 9% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.59% (-0.25)
Total : 38.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.61%
Universidad Catolica
0-1 @ 8.87% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.56% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.52% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.38% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.62% (+0.21)
Total : 36.3%