Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.