Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Dalian Zhixing win was 1-2 (8.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.