Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 62.09%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 19% and a draw had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-2 (5.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.