Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Chongqing Tongliang Long had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-2 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.