Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.99% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%) , while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.