Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Henan had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.