Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Tongliang Long win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Tongliang Long win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%) , while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.