Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.02% and a win for Henan had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Henan win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.