Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.