Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.94% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.