Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Zhixing win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.78% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Zhixing win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.