Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.08% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.13%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.