Chinese Super League Gameweek 10
Qingdao Youth Island
May 5, 2026 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen
  • Davidson 7' yellowcard
  • Nelson Luz 43' goal
  • Chengdong Zhang 87' yellowcard
  • Chengdong Zhang 88' yellowcard
  • goal Jiahui Huang 40'
  • yellowcard Xie Weijun 46'
  • yellowcard Qiuming Wang 46'
  • yellowcard Ming-Him Sun 46'
  • yellowcard Hao Guo 78'
  • yellowcard Xianjun Wang 80'

Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Youth Island

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 1, 2026 12.35pm
Shandong 1 - 1 Qingdao Youth Island

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 1, 2026 12.35pm
Tianjin Jinmen 2 - 2 Wuhan TT

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result

Qingdao Youth Island 45.74% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 27.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.87% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.58% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 28.42% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 46% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.93% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.07% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 13.44% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.56% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Qingdao Youth Island 33.94% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 41.25% ▼ (-0.11)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 24.81%

Team To Score First

Qingdao Youth Island 50.07% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41.49% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 24.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 53.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 35.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.55% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 58.45% ▲ (+0.07)

Qingdao Youth Island Goals

Over 1.5 41.68% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.48% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.52% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.09% ▼ (-0.05)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5 61.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 91.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Qingdao Youth Island 45.74%
Draw 27.12%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27.15%
Qingdao Youth Island
1-0 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.96% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 45.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.12%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.15%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Chinese Super League playoffs
Tianjin Jinmen
Aug 10, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
Qingdao Youth Island
Apr 6, 2025 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen
  • Zhang Xiuwei 33' goal
  • Zhang Xiuwei 39' yellowcard
  • Nelson Luz 72' goal
  • Nelson Luz 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peng Wang 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alberto Quiles 27'
  • goal Alberto Quiles 37'
  • yellowcard Juan Antonio Ros 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ba Dun 61'
  • yellowcard Jiahui Huang 85'
  • yellowcard Alberto Quiles 90'+6'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 20
Tianjin Jinmen
Jul 27, 2024 12.35pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT TEDA Football Stadium
Qingdao Youth Island
  • Andrea Compagno 8' goal
  • Albion Ademi 50' goal
  • Guo Hao 85' yellowcard
  • Jiahui Huang 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 31'
  • goal Alan Carvalho 56'
  • yellowcard Matheus Indio 84'
  • yellowcard Alan Carvalho 90'+5'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
Qingdao Youth Island
Apr 10, 2024 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
Tianjin Jinmen
  • Alan Carvalho 61' goal
  • Nelson Luz 88' redcard
  • goal Andrea Compagno 57'
  • goal Albion Ademi 85'
  • goal Yan Shi 90'+4'

Form Data

Shandong 1 - 1 Qingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 - 1 Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island 0 - 0 Henan
Qingdao Hainiu 0 - 0 Qingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island 1 - 1 Shenyang Urban
Chengdu 5 - 1 Qingdao Youth Island
Tianjin Jinmen 2 - 2 Wuhan TT
Beijing Guoan 2 - 4 Tianjin Jinmen
Tianjin Jinmen 1 - 2 Shandong
Yunnan Yukun 0 - 3 Tianjin Jinmen
Tianjin Jinmen 1 - 1 Qingdao Hainiu
Tianjin Jinmen 2 - 3 Sh. Shenhua