Chinese Super League Gameweek 10
May 5, 2026 12.00pm
Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium

Qingdao Youth Island vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Youth Island

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 1, 2026 12.35pm
Shandong 1 - 1 Qingdao Youth Island

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

All competitions
Chinese Super League
Last game
May 1, 2026 12.35pm
Tianjin Jinmen 2 - 2 Wuhan TT

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Qingdao Youth Island win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has a probability of 27.15% and a draw has a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Youth Island win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win is 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Qingdao Youth Island 45.74% (+0.14)
Draw 27.11% (-0.06)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27.15% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.87% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.58% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 28.42% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 46% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 54% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.93% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 75.07% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 13.44% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.56% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Qingdao Youth Island 33.94% (+0.11)
Draw 41.25% (-0.11)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 24.81%

Team To Score First

Qingdao Youth Island 50.07% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.44% (-0.01)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41.49% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 64.99% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.9% (+0.02)
Under 8 24.11% (-0.02)
Over 9 53.19% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.03)
Under 9 35.01% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 41.55% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 58.45% (+0.07)

Qingdao Youth Island Goals

Over 1.5 41.68% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 58.32% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.48% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.52% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 5.91% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.09% (-0.05)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals

Over 0.5 61.57% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.43% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.35% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 72.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.92% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 91.08% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.4% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Qingdao Youth Island 45.74%
Draw 27.12%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 27.15%
Qingdao Youth Island
1-0 @ 11.75% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.96% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.04)
Other @ 5.85% (+0.06)
Total : 45.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 27.12%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.79%
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.34% (-0.02)
Total : 27.15%

Head to Head

Chinese Super League Chinese Super League playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 12.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
Apr 6, 2025 11.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
  • Zhang Xiuwei 33' goal
  • Zhang Xiuwei 39' yellowcard
  • Nelson Luz 72' goal
  • Nelson Luz 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Peng Wang 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alberto Quiles 27'
  • goal Alberto Quiles 37'
  • yellowcard Juan Antonio Ros 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ba Dun 61'
  • yellowcard Jiahui Huang 85'
  • yellowcard Alberto Quiles 90'+6'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 20
Jul 27, 2024 12.35pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT TEDA Football Stadium
  • Andrea Compagno 8' goal
  • Albion Ademi 50' goal
  • Guo Hao 85' yellowcard
  • Jiahui Huang 90'+5' yellowcard
  • 90'+12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Varazdat Haroyan 31'
  • goal Alan Carvalho 56'
  • yellowcard Matheus Indio 84'
  • yellowcard Alan Carvalho 90'+5'
Chinese Super League Gameweek 5
Apr 10, 2024 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium
  • Alan Carvalho 61' goal
  • Nelson Luz 88' redcard
  • goal Andrea Compagno 57'
  • goal Albion Ademi 85'
  • goal Yan Shi 90'+4'