Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sichuan Jiuniu win was 2-1 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.