Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 55.52%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (6.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.