Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 68.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.11% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 11.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.37%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.