Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.47% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%) , while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.