Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 67.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.85% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%) , while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.