Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.09% and a win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a Shanghai Port win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.