Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Dalian Zhixing had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Dalian Zhixing win was 2-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.