Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.06% and a win for Sichuan Jiuniu had a probability of 11.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%) , while for a Sichuan Jiuniu win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.