World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Chile
0 - 0
Ecuador

Loyola (84'), Loyola (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Plata (85'), Plata (85'), Ordonez (90+5'), Ordonez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Chile and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Chile
Thursday, March 20 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Ecuador

All competitions

Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	13	15	28
2	Ecuador	13	8	25
3	Brazil	13	7	21
4	Uruguay	13	7	20
5	Paraguay	13	2	20
6	Colombia	13	4	19
7	Bolivia	13	-16	13
8	Venezuela	13	-5	12
9	Peru	13	-10	10
10	Chile	13	-12	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 62.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Ecuador
62.79% ( -2.72)	21.97% ( 0.88)	15.24% ( 1.84)

Both teams to score 45.83% (

1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.14% (

0.02)

50.86% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.26% (

0.02)

72.74% (

-0.03)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.36% (

-0.87)

15.63% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.35% (

-1.64)

44.65% (

1.63)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.33% (

2.74)

45.67% (

-2.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.54% (

2.06)

81.46% (

-2.07)

Score Analysis

Chile 62.78%

Ecuador 15.24%

Draw 21.96%

Chile	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.43) 2-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.78) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.73) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.46) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2% Total : 62.78%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.33) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.24%