Chelsea vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.