Championship Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Watford 1 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Watford has a probability of 27.94% and a draw has a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Watford win is 2-1 (7.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Watford 27.94% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 24.47% ▼ (-0.06)
Middlesbrough 47.62% ▲ (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.95% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 20.05% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 58.17% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 2.5 41.83% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 3.5 35.29% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.71% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 4.5 20.99%
Under 4.5 79.01%

First Half Winner

Watford 20.49% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 37.14% ▼ (-0.16)
Middlesbrough 42.36% ▲ (+0.23)

Team To Score First

Watford 34.63% ▼ (-2.47)
No Goal 5.25% ▲ (+0.10)
Middlesbrough 60.12% ▲ (+2.36)

Corners

Over 8 62.06% ▼ (-1.43)
Equal 8 10.32% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 8 27.62% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 9 51.2% ▼ (-1.04)
Equal 9 10.86% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 9 37.94% ▲ (+1.43)
Over 10.5 40.64% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 10.5 59.36% ▲ (+0.58)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 33.49% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 66.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 12.78% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 87.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▲ (+0.03)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 79.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 20.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.81% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 1.5 50.19% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 2.5 24.67% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 75.33% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 9.85% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 90.15% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Watford 27.94%
Draw 24.47%
Middlesbrough 47.62%
Watford
2-1 @ 7.13% ▲ (+0.08)
1-0 @ 6.28% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 27.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% ▼ (-0.29)
2-2 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.4% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 24.47%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 47.62%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Morgan Whittaker 6' goal
  • David Strelec 45'+1' goal
  • Matt Targett 46' yellowcard
  • Morgan Whittaker 58' goal
  • Tommy Conway 63' yellowcard
  • Dael Fry 63' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 64' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 75' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 83' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 90'+2' goal
  • goal James Abankwah 48'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Doumbia 62'
  • yellowcard Othmane Maamma 62'
  • yellowcard J. Grieves 63'
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 63'
  • yellowcard Tom Ince 82'
Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Luke Ayling 47' yellowcard
  • Marcus Forss 83' yellowcard
  • goal Moussa Sissoko 40'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Chakvetadze 65'
  • yellowcard Egil Selvik 81'
Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Tom Cleverley 24' yellowcard
  • Edo Kayembe 76' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 87' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 88' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 23'
  • goal George Edmundson 54'
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 28' goal
  • Finn Azaz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Bangura 78' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 84' goal
  • yellowcard Matthew Pollock 20'
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 73'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 19' goal
  • Ryan Porteous 40' yellowcard
  • Wesley Hoedt 52' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 55' yellowcard
  • goal Riley McGree 5'
  • goal Riley McGree 12'
  • goal Josh Coburn 63'