Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2026 7.45pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Norwich 3 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 3 Birmingham
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Mikkel Ladefoged

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 32.58% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Watford 41.56%
Draw 25.9%
Lincoln City 32.58% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.41% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.85%
Under 2.5 47.15%
Over 3.5 30.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.88% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Watford 33.14%
Draw 42.76%
Lincoln City 24.1%

Team To Score First

Watford 53.7%
No Goal 6.45%
Lincoln City 39.85%

Corners

Over 8 62.54%
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 26.76%
Over 9 51.23%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 37.46%
Over 10.5 40.24%
Under 10.5 59.76%

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 41.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.17% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.07%
Under 2.5 81.93%
Over 3.5 6.12%
Under 3.5 93.88%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 68.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.62% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 64.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.59% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Watford 41.56%
Draw 25.9%
Lincoln City 32.58%
Watford
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 5.99%
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
Lincoln City
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-1 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.58%