Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
LNER Stadium

Lincoln City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2026 8.00pm
Burnley 1 - 2 Wolves
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Zeki Amdouni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 30.87% and a draw has a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Burnley win is 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result

Lincoln City 42.09%
Draw 27.04%
Burnley 30.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71%
Under 1.5 24.29%
Over 2.5 51.61%
Under 2.5 48.39%
Over 3.5 29.25%
Under 3.5 70.75%
Over 4.5 16.28%
Under 4.5 83.72%

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 28.35%
Draw 43.18%
Burnley 28.47%

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 44.7%
No Goal 6.97%
Burnley 48.33%

Corners

Over 8 55.81%
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 32.83%
Over 9 44.42%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 44.18%
Over 10.5 33.9%
Under 10.5 66.1%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 42.12%
Under 1.5 57.88%
Over 2.5 18.02%
Under 2.5 81.98%
Over 3.5 6.45%
Under 3.5 93.55%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 66.66%
Under 0.5 33.34%
Over 1.5 33.41%
Under 1.5 66.59%
Over 2.5 12.8%
Under 2.5 87.2%
Over 3.5 4.13%
Under 3.5 95.87%

Score analysis

Lincoln City 42.08%
Draw 27.04%
Burnley 30.86%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.57%
3-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 6.13%
Total : 42.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.93%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 27.04%
Burnley
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 30.86%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 18, 2017 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joey Barton 70' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Power 17'
  • yellowcard Bradley Wood 70'
  • goal Sean Raggett 89'