Championship Gameweek 10
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 4 Burnley
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Zeki Amdouni

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 12.30pm
Charlton 1 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Tyreece Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw has a probability of 27.71% and a win for Charlton Athletic has a probability of 25.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.04%) , while for a Charlton Athletic win it is 0-1 (8.89%).

Result

Burnley 46.58% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 27.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Charlton Athletic 25.68% ▲ (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.63% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 31.57% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 42.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 88.5% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Burnley 36.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 41.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Charlton Athletic 22.18% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Burnley 53.83% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Charlton Athletic 36.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.19%
Under 8 25.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 9 51.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 36.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 10.5 39.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 10.5 60.26% ▼ (-0.04)

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 40.04% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.96% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.38% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 5.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.55% ▲ (+0.04)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 59.08% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 40.92% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 24.2% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 75.8% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 7.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 92.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 1.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Burnley 46.58%
Draw 27.71%
Charlton Athletic 25.69%
Burnley
1-0 @ 13.05% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 46.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.61% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 27.71%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.69%

Head to Head

Championship
May 7, 2016 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Callum Harriott 72' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Vokes 20'
  • goal George Boyd 49'
  • goal Andre Gray 51'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 66'
Championship
Dec 19, 2015 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Arfield 44' goal
  • Scott Arfield 53' goal
  • Andre Gray 55' goal
  • Sam Vokes 78' goal
Championship
Mar 22, 2014 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Ashley Barnes 38'
  • goal Sam Vokes 56'
  • goal Michael Kightly 90'
Championship
Sep 28, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Ings 38' goal
  • Sam Vokes 67' goal
  • Dean Marney 72' yellowcard
  • Sam Vokes 86' goal
  • yellowcard Lawrie Wilson 51'
Championship
Mar 2, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Charlie Austin 43'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Lafferty 74'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 86'
  • yellowcard Martin Paterson 90'
Championship
Nov 17, 2012 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kieran Trippier 15' redcard
  • goal Danny Haynes 69'
  • yellowcard Johnnie Jackson 80'