Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2026 8.00pm
Turf Moor

Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Charlton
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Zeki Amdouni

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Wolves 1 - 3 Bolton
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Fer López

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burnley win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 33.53% and a draw has a probability of 28.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.12%).

Result

Burnley 38.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 28.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 33.53% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.12% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 30% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 44.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 55.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 23.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.03% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Burnley 29.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 27.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Burnley 46.89% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 44.03% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.15%
Equal 8 11.04%
Under 8 23.82%
Over 9 53.16%
Equal 9 11.98%
Under 9 34.85%
Over 10.5 41.33%
Under 10.5 58.67%

Burnley Goals

Over 1.5 35.24% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.27% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.05% ▲ (+0.02)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 33.72% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 31.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.41% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Burnley 38.42%
Draw 28.06%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 33.53%
Burnley
1-0 @ 10.99% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 28.06%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 33.53%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Zian Flemming 47' goal
  • Zeki Amdouni 66' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 75' yellowcard
  • Marcus Edwards 75' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 84' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 85' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 5'
  • yellowcard Tolu Arokodare 66'
  • yellowcard Toti 66'
  • yellowcard Jerome Abbey 74'
  • yellowcard Hugo Bueno 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Lima 82'
Premier League
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 28, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Goncalo Guedes 38' goal
  • Goncalo Guedes 54' goal
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 73'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Jacob Bruun Larsen 37' goal
  • goal Rayan Ait-Nouri 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nelson Semedo 54'
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Molineux Stadium
  • Hwang Hee-chan 42' goal
  • Mario Lemina 57' yellowcard
  • Max Kilman 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 2'
  • yellowcard Sander Berge 53'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 63'
  • yellowcard Hjalmar Ekdal 74'
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 9, 2022 12.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 3' goal
  • Daniel Podence 26' goal
  • Chiquinho 54' goal