Championship Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2026 3.00pm
Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 3.00pm
Birmingham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 12.00pm
Wolves 1 - 0 West Brom
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Fer López

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw has a probability of 23.45% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 22.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.98%) , while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it is 0-1 (6.61%).

Result

Middlesbrough 53.86% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 23.45% ▼ (-0.29)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.66% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.29% ▼ (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 23.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 53.61% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 46.39% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 31.85% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 68.12% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 19.02% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 4.5 80.98% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 45.7% ▲ (+0.70)
Draw 37.19% ▼ (-0.24)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.11% ▼ (-0.47)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 61.37% ▼ (-0.40)
No Goal 6.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Wolverhampton Wanderers 32.43% ▲ (+0.43)

Corners

Over 8 74.76% ▲ (+6.47)
Equal 8 9.01% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 8 16.23% ▼ (-5.97)
Over 9 64.1% ▲ (+6.31)
Equal 9 10.66% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 9 25.24% ▼ (-6.47)
Over 10.5 52.65% ▲ (+5.57)
Under 10.5 47.35% ▼ (-5.57)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 51.32% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 26.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 73.72% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 10.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.13% ▼ (-0.04)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 58.54% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 41.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.54% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 74.46% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 8.12% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 2.5 91.88% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 2.11% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 97.89% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 53.85%
Draw 23.44%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.67%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 8.59% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 10.8% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 53.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 0.07% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 23.44%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0-1 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 22.67%

Head to Head

Championship
Mar 30, 2018 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Grant Leadbitter 11' yellowcard
  • Ryan Shotton 61' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 90' goal
  • Martin Cranie 97' yellowcard
  • goal Helder Costa 32'
  • goal Ivan Cavaleiro 37'
  • yellowcard John Ruddy 40'
  • yellowcard Matt Doherty 54'
  • yellowcard Ruben Neves 54'
  • redcard Ruben Neves 56'
  • yellowcard Romain Saiss 66'
  • redcard Matt Doherty 71'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 73'
Championship
Aug 5, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roderick Miranda 28' yellowcard
  • Leo Bonatini 33' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 58'
  • yellowcard Adam Forshaw 94'
Championship
Mar 4, 2016 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gaston Ramirez 24' goal
  • Gaston Ramirez 56' goal
  • Albert Adomah 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dominic Iorfa 23'
  • yellowcard Kevin McDonald 72'
  • goal Joe Mason 89'
Championship
Oct 24, 2015 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Benik Afobe 17' yellowcard
  • David Edwards 22' goal
  • Conor Coady 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 21'
  • yellowcard George Friend 49'
  • yellowcard Diego Fabbrini 55'
  • yellowcard Fernando Amorebieta 59'
  • goal Diego Fabbrini 71'
  • goal Grant Leadbitter 82'
  • goal Stewart Downing 92'
  • yellowcard Stewart Downing 94'
League Cup
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • George Friend 30' yellowcard
  • Albert Adomah 37' goal
  • Diego Fabbrini 57' goal
  • Albert Adomah 64' goal
Championship
Apr 14, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jelle Vossen 3' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 11' goal
  • Adam Clayton 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Stearman 25'
  • yellowcard Danny Batth 38'
  • yellowcard Bakary Sako 45'
  • goal Bakary Sako 53'
  • yellowcard David Edwards 89'

Build-up

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