Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Vicarage Road

Watford vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 5 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Oct 13, 2026 7.45pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Charlton
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Tyreece Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Charlton Athletic has a probability of 27.73% and a draw has a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win is 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Watford 46.15% ▼ (-0.33)
Draw 26.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Charlton Athletic 27.73% ▲ (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.71% ▲ (+0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 26.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 14.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.49% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Watford 37.95% ▲ (+0.75)
Draw 41.23% ▼ (-0.35)
Charlton Athletic 20.82% ▼ (-0.42)

Team To Score First

Watford 56.44% ▲ (+1.29)
No Goal 7.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Charlton Athletic 36.29% ▼ (-1.28)

Corners

Over 8 64.69% ▲ (+1.59)
Equal 8 10.37% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 8 24.94% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 9 53.53% ▲ (+1.79)
Equal 9 11.16% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 9 35.31% ▼ (-1.59)
Over 10.5 42.49% ▲ (+1.83)
Under 10.5 57.51% ▼ (-1.83)

Watford Goals

Over 1.5 43.24% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 56.76% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 18.56% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 81.44% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▲ (+0.15)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 63.35% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 36.65% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 29.2% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 70.8% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 9.96% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 2.5 90.04% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 3.5 2.71% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.29% ▼ (-0.18)

Score analysis

Watford 46.16%
Draw 26.13%
Charlton Athletic 27.73%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.24% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 46.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 26.13%
Charlton Athletic
0-1 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Total : 27.73%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 6, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Amin Nabizada 63' yellowcard
  • Kwadwo Baah 72' yellowcard
  • Nestory Irankunda 74' goal
  • Tom Ince 81' yellowcard
  • Vivaldo Semedo 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Rankin-Costello 61'
  • yellowcard Matty Godden 61'
  • goal Matty Godden 62'
  • yellowcard Jayden Fevrier 81'
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 90'+9'
Championship
Aug 9, 2025 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Jan 17, 2015 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Craig Cathcart 15' goal
  • Troy Deeney 25' goal
  • Odion Ighalo 44' goal
  • Odion Ighalo 58' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 93' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Solly 5'
  • yellowcard Andre Bikey 92'
Championship
Sep 13, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoni Buyens 3' goal
  • Johann Berg Gudmundsson 24' yellowcard
  • Rhoy Wiggins 48' yellowcard
  • Yoni Buyens 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Heurelho Gomes 2'
  • yellowcard Almen Abdi 41'
  • yellowcard Tom Hoban 43'
  • yellowcard Joel Ekstrand 45'
Championship
Apr 29, 2014 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Harriott 22' goal
  • Johnnie Jackson 70' goal
  • Callum Harriott 77' goal
  • Andy Hughes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Essaid Belkalem 45'
  • goal Troy Deeney 60'
  • yellowcard Albert Riera 65'
  • redcard Albert Riera 79'
  • yellowcard Math Ranegie 84'
Championship
Sep 14, 2013 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Essaid Belkalem 31' yellowcard
  • Davide Faraoni 34' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pudil 71' goal
  • Santos Iriney 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dale Stephens 4'
  • yellowcard Simon Church 33'
  • goal Yann Kermorgant 47'
  • yellowcard Lawrie Wilson 94'