Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Carrow Road

Norwich City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 12.30pm
Charlton 1 - 3 Norwich
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Mohamed Touré

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Wolves 1 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Amin Nabizada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norwich City win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Watford has a probability of 21.83% and a draw has a probability of 21.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Watford win is 1-2 (5.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.42%).

Result

Norwich City 56.75% ▲ (+1.66)
Draw 21.38% ▼ (-0.82)
Watford 21.83% ▼ (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.12% ▼ (-0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.52% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 18.48% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 61.01% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 2.5 38.99% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 3.5 38.47% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 3.5 61.53% ▼ (-0.79)
Over 4.5 24.34% ▲ (+0.79)
Under 4.5 75.66% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Norwich City 46.36% ▲ (+5.22)
Draw 37.94% ▼ (-3.24)
Watford 15.69% ▼ (-2.01)

Team To Score First

Norwich City 64.92% ▲ (+3.79)
No Goal 4.74% ▼ (-0.25)
Watford 30.34% ▼ (-3.55)

Corners

Over 8 54.32% ▲ (+2.54)
Equal 8 11.4% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 8 34.29% ▼ (-2.00)
Over 9 43.02% ▲ (+2.87)
Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 9 45.68% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 10.5 32.69% ▲ (+2.91)
Under 10.5 67.31% ▼ (-2.91)

Norwich City Goals

Over 1.5 57.16% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 1.5 42.84% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 2.5 31.18% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 2.5 68.82% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 3.5 13.65% ▲ (+0.87)
Under 3.5 86.35% ▼ (-0.86)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 58.45% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 0.5 41.55% ▲ (+1.43)
Over 1.5 28.06% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 1.5 71.94% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 2.5 10.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 89.23% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 3.66% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 96.34% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Norwich City 56.76%
Draw 21.39%
Watford 21.85%
Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.84% ▼ (-0.24)
1-0 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.49% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.23)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.44)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 13.32% ▲ (+0.91)
Total : 56.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 21.39%
Watford
1-2 @ 5.61% ▼ (-0.39)
0-1 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 21.85%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ngakia 66'
  • goal Vivaldo Semedo 90'
Championship
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 22' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Chakvetadze 24' yellowcard
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard 33' goal
  • Luca Kjerrumgaard 61' goal
  • Tom Ince 78' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 8'
  • goal Joshua Sargent 11'
  • goal Oscar Schwartau 45'
  • yellowcard Vladan Kovacevic 54'
EFL Cup
Aug 12, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 35' redcard
  • Imran Louza 40' yellowcard
  • Ryan Andrews 77' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 89' yellowcard
  • goal Joshua Sargent 41'
Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Callum Doyle 3' goal
  • Borja Sainz 45'+3' goal
  • Marcelino Nunez 54' goal
  • Kellen Fisher 74' yellowcard
  • Ben Chrisene 89' goal
  • Ben Chrisene 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Andrews 26'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jebbison 36'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Carrow Road
  • Ashley Barnes 17' yellowcard
  • Ashley Barnes 20' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 28' goal
  • Joshua Sargent 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Sara 77' goal
  • Christian Fassnacht 82' goal
  • Liam Gibbs 88' yellowcard
  • goal Mileta Rajovic 42'
  • yellowcard Matheus Martins 45'+1'
  • goal Yaser Asprilla 71'
  • yellowcard Ryan Porteous 79'