Championship Gameweek 13
Lincoln
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
LNER Stadium
Birmingham

Lincoln City vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Lincoln 4 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Mikkel Ladefoged

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Liam Millar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 35.96% and a draw has a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 1-0 (8.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

Lincoln City 35.96% ▲ (+1.74)
Draw 25.97% ▲ (+0.11)
Birmingham City 38.07% ▼ (-1.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% ▲ (+0.99)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.53% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 23.47% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 52.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 47.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 30.51% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 3.5 69.49% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 4.5 17.46% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 82.54% ▲ (+0.50)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 23.82% ▲ (+3.70)
Draw 45.28% ▲ (+1.08)
Birmingham City 30.89% ▼ (-4.79)

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 40.51% ▲ (+6.19)
No Goal 6.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Birmingham City 53.04% ▼ (-6.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.03% ▼ (-4.36)
Equal 8 11.53% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 8 37.45% ▲ (+4.17)
Over 9 39.89% ▼ (-4.18)
Equal 9 11.14% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 9 48.97% ▲ (+4.36)
Over 10.5 29.96% ▼ (-3.68)
Under 10.5 70.04% ▲ (+3.69)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 37.39% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 1.5 62.61% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 2.5 16.01% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 2.5 83.99% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 3.5 5.69% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 94.31% ▼ (-0.15)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 71.83% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 0.5 28.17% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 1.5 39.19% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 1.5 60.81% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 2.5 16.06% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 2.5 83.94% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 3.5 5.48% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 3.5 94.52% ▲ (+0.65)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 35.95%
Draw 25.97%
Birmingham City 38.07%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.28)
2-1 @ 7.93% ▲ (+0.55)
2-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.26)
Total : 35.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% ▲ (+0.56)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Total : 25.97%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 8.8% ▼ (-0.27)
1-2 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.53)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.54)
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Birmingham
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Lincoln
  • Jay Stansfield 23' yellowcard
  • Christoph Klarer 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Allsop 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kieran Dowell 71' goal
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 85'
FA Cup
Birmingham
Jan 11, 2025 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
Lincoln
  • Ayumu Yokoyama 1' goal
  • Lyndon Dykes 77' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Montsma 83'
  • goal Jovon Makama 90'
League One Gameweek 12
Lincoln
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT LNER Stadium
Birmingham
  • Bailey Cadamarteri 1' goal
  • goal Keshi Anderson 14'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Cochrane 50'
  • goal Willum Thor Willumsson 52'
  • goal Keshi Anderson 79'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 85'

Form Data

Lincoln 4 - 1 Burnley
Millwall 2 - 2 Lincoln
Lincoln 0 - 6 West Ham
Sheff Utd 3 - 0 Lincoln
Lincoln 1 - 2 Swansea
Bristol City 0 - 1 Lincoln
Cardiff 1 - 0 Birmingham
Birmingham 3 - 0 QPR
Birmingham 4 - 0 Preston
West Brom 0 - 1 Birmingham
Birmingham 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham