Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2026 8.00pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
Southampton 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 12.30pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bolton Wanderers has a probability of 32.46% and a draw has a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win is 2-1 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 32.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 25.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Middlesbrough 41.93% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.33% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 56.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.89% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 66.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 19.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.4% ▲ (+0.09)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 26.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 38.04%
Middlesbrough 34.97% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 40.08% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Middlesbrough 54.44%

Corners

Over 8 58.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.23%
Under 8 30.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 47.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 41.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 63.64% ▲ (+0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 37.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.95%
Under 3.5 95.05%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 24.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 44.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 55.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 20.36% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 79.64% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 7.29% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 32.45%
Draw 25.6%
Middlesbrough 41.93%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 32.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 25.6%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 6.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.93%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 62' goal
  • Sonny Finch 74' goal
  • Delano Burgzorg 83' goal
EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 23' goal
  • William Forrester 51' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 70' yellowcard
  • Zac Ashworth 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Crooks 33'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 47'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 48'
  • goal Riley McGree 90'+1'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2019 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 16'
  • goal Ashley Fletcher 28'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2018 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • George Saville 34' goal
  • Stewart Downing 65' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 90' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Magennis 64'
  • yellowcard Jason Lowe 68'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 80'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 93'
Championship
Dec 26, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonny Howson 33' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 49' goal
  • Martin Braithwaite 57' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 67' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Taylor 12'
  • yellowcard Mark Beevers 51'
  • yellowcard David Wheater 88'
Championship
Sep 9, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jem Karacan 10' yellowcard
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 13'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 45'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 71'
  • goal Marvin Johnson 78'