Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 28, 2025 at 8pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
4 - 0
Bristol City

Tanaka (21'), Gnonto (55'), Ramazani (82', 90+4')
Tanaka (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 6-0 Stoke
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Bristol City
73.77% ( 0.59)	16.97% ( -0.1)	9.26% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 43.23% (

-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85% (

-1.07)

44.15% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47% (

-1.05)

66.53% (

1.05)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.57% (

-0.13)

10.43% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.99% (

-0.3)

34.01% (

0.31)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.27% (

-1.72)

51.74% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.17% (

-1.16)

85.83% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 73.75%

Bristol City 9.26%

Draw 16.97%

Leeds United	Draw	Bristol City
2-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.49) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 73.75%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.55% Total : 16.97%	0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.26%