Championship Gameweek 45
Apr 28, 2025 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Ao Tanaka 21' goal
  • Ao Tanaka 49' yellowcard
  • Willy Gnonto 55' goal
  • Largie Ramazani 82' goal
  • Largie Ramazani 90'+4' goal

Leeds United vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Leeds 6 - 0 Stoke
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
Luton 3 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 9.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 3-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 73.77% (+0.59)
Draw 16.97% (-0.10)
Bristol City 9.26% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.23% (-1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.85% (-1.07)
Under 2.5 44.15% (+1.08)
Over 3.5 33.47% (-1.05)
Under 3.5 66.53% (+1.06)
Over 4.5 17.14% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 82.86% (+0.78)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 89.57% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 10.43% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 65.99% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 34.01% (+0.31)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 48.27% (-1.72)
Under 0.5 51.74% (+1.73)
Over 1.5 14.17% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 85.83% (+1.17)

Score analysis

Leeds United 73.75%
Draw 16.97%
Bristol City 9.26%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 13.78% (+0.48)
1-0 @ 12.19% (+0.50)
3-0 @ 10.38% (+0.31)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.87% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.65% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.17)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1% (+1.30)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 73.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.4% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.97%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.26%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 12
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Elijah Morrison 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willy Gnonto 40'
  • yellowcard Ao Tanaka 51'
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 67'
Championship Gameweek 30
Feb 2, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Robert Dickie 63' yellowcard
  • goal Willy Gnonto 47'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road
  • Daniel James 37' goal
  • Joel Piroe 53' goal
  • Joe Rodon 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 6'
  • yellowcard Taylor Gardner-Hickman 45'+3'
  • goal Kal Naismith 45'+4'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
  • Luke Ayling 16' goal
  • Stuart Dallas 55' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum O'Dowda 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Kalas 81'
Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 4, 2019 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marlon Pack 47' yellowcard
  • Kasey Palmer 55' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 79' goal
  • Matty Taylor 88' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 26'
  • yellowcard Adam Forshaw 48'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 54'
  • goal Patrick Bamford 57'
  • goal Jack Harrison 72'
Championship Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)
  • Antoine Semenyo 34' yellowcard
  • Bailey Wright 61' yellowcard
  • Famara Diedhiou 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Webster 87' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick Bamford 9'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 19'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 80'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 88'
  • yellowcard Barry Douglas 90'