Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 3, 2026 8.00pm
St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 12.30pm
Lincoln 1 - 3 Birmingham
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
August Priske Flyger

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 3.00pm
Millwall 4 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Lyndon Dykes

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw has a probability of 25.68% and a win for Millwall has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.21%) , while for a Millwall win it is 0-1 (6.97%).

Result

Birmingham City 52.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.68%
Millwall 22% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 46.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.05% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.65%
Under 3.5 74.35%
Over 4.5 14.69%
Under 4.5 85.31%

First Half Winner

Birmingham City 37.08%
Draw 40.88%
Millwall 22.03%

Team To Score First

Birmingham City 53.39%
No Goal 8.92%
Millwall 37.69%

Corners

Over 8 60.36%
Equal 8 10.44%
Under 8 29.2%
Over 9 49.51%
Equal 9 10.86%
Under 9 39.64%
Over 10.5 39.08%
Under 10.5 60.92%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 1.5 46.21%
Under 1.5 53.79%
Over 2.5 21.15%
Under 2.5 78.85%
Over 3.5 7.76%
Under 3.5 92.24%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 55.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 23.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.44% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

Birmingham City 52.33%
Draw 25.68%
Millwall 22%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.1%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 7.69%
Total : 52.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 25.68%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Den
  • Femi Azeez 25' goal
  • Tristan Crama 31' goal
  • Jake Cooper 49' goal
  • Mihailo Ivanovic 60' yellowcard
  • Alfie Doughty 73' yellowcard
  • Danny McNamara 73' yellowcard
  • Tom Watson 74' yellowcard
  • Barry Bannan 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Demarai Gray 46'
  • yellowcard Tommy Doyle 54'
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 68'
  • yellowcard Patrick Roberts 80'
  • yellowcard Marvin Ducksch 80'
Championship
Nov 4, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Ryan Leonard 64' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 87' yellowcard
  • Japhet Tanganga 90' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Buchanan 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Juninho Bacuna 46' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 53' goal
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 6'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 57'
  • yellowcard Brooke Norton-Cuffy 59'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 28'
Championship Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium