Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2026 2.30pm
Home Deluxe Arena

SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Steffen Tigges

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 1 - 0 Stuttgart
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Miro Muheim

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 33.28% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 1-2 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.72%).

Result

SC Paderborn 44.13% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 22.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Hamburger SV 33.28% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.83% ▲ (+0.32)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.19% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 14.81% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 66.26% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 33.71% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 3.5 43.89% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 3.5 56.08% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 28.28% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 4.5 71.72% ▼ (-0.41)

First Half Winner

SC Paderborn 37.64%
Draw 38.14%
Hamburger SV 24.22%

Team To Score First

SC Paderborn 56.2% ▲ (+0.09)
No Goal 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
Hamburger SV 40.11% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.28%
Under 8 22.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 55.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 33.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 44.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 55.76% ▲ (+0.01)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 1.5 50.84% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 49.16% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 26.12% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 73.88% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 10.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 3.5 89.22% ▼ (-0.19)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 70.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 29.25% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.59% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 19.68% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 80.32% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 8.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 91.98% ▼ (-0.13)

Score analysis

SC Paderborn 44.14%
Draw 22.6%
Hamburger SV 33.27%
SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.71%
Other @ 10.34% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 44.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 22.6%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 7.36% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Total : 33.27%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Filip Bilbija 15' goal
  • Filip Bilbija 46' yellowcard
  • Casper Terho 64' yellowcard
  • Adriano Grimaldi 84' goal
  • yellowcard Adam Karabec 63'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Adam Karabec 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 54' goal
  • Davie Selke 67' goal
  • Sebastian Schonlau 78' yellowcard
  • Miro Muheim 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laurin Curda 27'
  • goal Filip Bilbija 46'
  • goal Filip Bilbija 60'
  • yellowcard Raphael Obermair 62'
  • yellowcard Calvin Brackelmann 75'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Benteler-Arena
  • Koen Kostons 7' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 32' yellowcard
  • Calvin Brackelmann 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Raphael Obermair 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ludovit Reis 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ignace Van Der Brempt 50'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Laszlo Benes 10' goal
  • Miro Muheim 77' redcard
  • Laszlo Benes 86' yellowcard
  • Moritz Heyer 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Filip Bilbija 20'
  • goal Ilyas Ansah 61'
  • redcard Filip Bilbija 69'
  • yellowcard Jannis Heuer 85'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Robert Glatzel 39' goal
  • Sonny Kittel 49' goal
  • goal Julian Justvan 43'
  • goal Florent Muslija 73'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Oct 30, 2022 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Robert Leipertz 3' goal
  • Robert Leipertz 51' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 23'
  • goal Jean-Luc Dompe 45'+1'
  • goal Laszlo Benes 69'