Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2026 2.30pm
Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Nicolás Capaldo

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.30pm
SC Paderborn 0 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Josha Vagnoman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Hamburger SV has a probability of 33.52% and a draw has a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win is 2-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.99%).

Result

Hamburger SV 33.52% ▼ (-0.70)
Draw 21.99% ▼ (-1.50)
Stuttgart 44.49% ▲ (+2.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.9% ▲ (+1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.67% ▲ (+1.27)
Under 1.5 15.33% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 2.5 65.94% ▲ (+2.54)
Under 2.5 34.06% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 3.5 44.47% ▲ (+2.93)
Under 3.5 55.53% ▼ (-2.93)
Over 4.5 28.4% ▲ (+2.41)
Under 4.5 71.6% ▼ (-2.42)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 25.34% ▼ (-1.81)
Draw 31.24% ▼ (-1.66)
Stuttgart 43.42% ▲ (+3.47)

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 40.03% ▼ (-0.75)
No Goal 3.6% ▼ (-0.65)
Stuttgart 56.37% ▲ (+1.40)

Corners

Over 8 64.02% ▼ (-2.94)
Equal 8 10.59% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 8 25.4% ▲ (+2.68)
Over 9 52.7% ▼ (-2.94)
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 35.98% ▲ (+2.93)
Over 10.5 41.61% ▼ (-2.71)
Under 10.5 58.39% ▲ (+2.71)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 41.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.38% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.1% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 2.5 80.9% ▼ (-0.69)
Over 3.5 7.1% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 3.5 92.9% ▼ (-0.25)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 77.74% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 0.5 22.26% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 1.5 50.96% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 1.5 49.04% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 2.5 27.11% ▲ (+2.67)
Under 2.5 72.89% ▼ (-2.68)
Over 3.5 12% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 3.5 88% ▼ (-1.44)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 33.52%
Draw 21.99%
Stuttgart 44.49%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.21)
1-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.46)
2-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 6.67% ▲ (+0.22)
Total : 33.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.91)
2-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.26)
0-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.65)
3-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.30)
Other @ 0.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 21.99%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 8.2% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.67)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.26)
0-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.57% ▲ (+1.41)
Total : 44.49%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT MHPArena
  • Angelo Stiller 21' goal
  • Chris Führich 32' goal
  • Maximilian Mittelstädt 56' goal
  • Bilal El Khannouss 70' yellowcard
  • Nikolas Nartey 70' yellowcard
  • Tiago Tomás 70' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 82' yellowcard
  • Deniz Undav 83' yellowcard
  • Bilal El Khannouss 86' goal
  • Jeremy Arévalo 88' yellowcard
  • Josha Vagnoman 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 60'
  • yellowcard Robert Glatzel 60'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Capaldo 72'
  • yellowcard Giorgi Gocholeishvili 72'
Bundesliga
Nov 30, 2025 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Robert Glatzel 17' goal
  • Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit 65' yellowcard
  • Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit 81' yellowcard
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 23'
  • goal Deniz Undav 54'
  • yellowcard 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Maria Andres Baixauli 74'
  • yellowcard Deniz Undav 81'
  • yellowcard Josha Vagnomann 87'
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Jun 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Sonny Kittel 6' goal
  • goal Enzo Millot 48'
  • goal Enzo Millot 64'
  • goal Silla Wamangituka 90'+6'
Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Jun 1, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT TBC
  • Konstantinos Mavropanos 1' goal
  • Josha Vagnomann 51' goal
  • Serhou Guirassy 54' goal
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
May 28, 2020 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes Benz Arena
  • Holger Badstuber 45' yellowcard
  • Wataru Endo 47' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 60' goal
  • Philipp Forster 80' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Castro 90'+2' goal
  • Gonzalo Castro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 16'
  • goal Aaron Hunt 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Josha Vagnomann 78'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hunt 88'
DFB-Pokal Gameweek 2
Oct 29, 2019 5.30pm
1
2
ET
  • Aaron Hunt 16' goal
  • Bakery Jatta 51' yellowcard
  • Khaled Narey 111' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Gonzalez 2'
  • yellowcard Marc-Oliver Kempf 11'
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 18'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castro 51'
  • yellowcard Orel Mangala 67'
  • yellowcard Holger Badstuber 107'
  • goal Hamadi Al Ghaddioui 113'