Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Mewa Arena

Mainz
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Nebel (35'), Burkardt (63' pen.)
Bell (40'), Hanche-Olsen (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schick (49' pen., 54')
Palacios (40'), Garcia (45+7'), Hincapie (59'), Alonso (68'), Arthur (68'), Alonso (68'), Tah (83'), Wirtz (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-4 Mainz
Saturday, May 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-4 Dortmund
Sunday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
29.71% ( 0.45)	25.09% ( 0.47)	45.21% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.01% (

-1.81)

47.99% (

1.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.84% (

-1.69)

70.16% (

1.7)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

-0.61)

29.89% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.74)

65.99% (

0.75)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

-1.14)

21.25% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

-1.8)

54.17% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 29.71%

Bayer Leverkusen 45.21%

Draw 25.09%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.71%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.21%