Bundesliga Gameweek 34
Mainz
May 17, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
B. Leverkusen
  • Paul Nebel 35' goal
  • Stefan Bell 40' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 63' goal
  • Andreas Hanche-Olsen 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Exequiel Palacios 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 49'
  • yellowcard Aleix Garcia 45'+7'
  • goal Patrik Schick 54'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 59'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 68'
  • yellowcard Arthur 68'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 68'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 83'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 87'

Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2025 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 1 - 4 Mainz
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 4 Dortmund
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Mainz 05 29.71% ▲ (+0.45)
Draw 25.09% ▲ (+0.47)
Bayer Leverkusen 45.21% ▼ (-0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.21% ▼ (-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.01% ▼ (-1.82)
Under 2.5 47.99% ▲ (+1.82)
Over 3.5 29.84% ▼ (-1.69)
Under 3.5 70.16% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 4.5 14.56% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 4.5 85.44% ▲ (+1.19)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 70.11% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 0.5 29.89% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 1.5 34.02% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 1.5 65.99% ▲ (+0.75)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 0.5 21.25% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 1.5 45.84% ▼ (-1.81)
Under 1.5 54.17% ▲ (+1.82)

Score analysis

Mainz 05 29.71%
Draw 25.09%
Bayer Leverkusen 45.21%
Mainz 05
1-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.45)
2-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88% ▲ (+0.30)
0-0 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.47)
2-2 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.40)
1-2 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
Mainz
  • Alex Grimaldo 48' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 69' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 17'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 51'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 68'
  • yellowcard Armindo Sieb 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
B. Leverkusen
Feb 23, 2024 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT BayArena
Mainz
  • Granit Xhaka 3' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Tah 49' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 68' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 74' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Kohr 7'
  • yellowcard Karim Onisiwo 42'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 52'
  • yellowcard Robin Zentner 54'
  • yellowcard Anthony Caci 66'
  • redcard Jessic Ngankam 80'
  • yellowcard Phillipp Mwene 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 6
Mainz
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT OPEL ARENA
B. Leverkusen
  • Edimilson Fernandes 58' yellowcard
  • Brajan Gruda 75' yellowcard
  • Marco Richter 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Leandro Barreiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 4'
  • goal Sepp van den Berg 18' (OG)
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 59'
  • goal Jonas Hofmann 65'
Bundesliga Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
Feb 19, 2023 6.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Mainz
  • Nadiem Amiri 32' goal
  • Patrik Schick 58' goal
  • goal Anthony Caci 26'
  • goal Leandro Barreiro 45'+4'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 82'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Mainz
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Delano Burgzorg 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 3'
  • goal Exequiel Palacios 29'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 39'
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 41'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 45'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 60'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 76'
  • redcard Piero Hincapie 77'
  • redcard Mitchel Bakker 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 23
Mainz
Feb 18, 2022 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Aaron Caricol 57' goal
  • Aaron Caricol 66' yellowcard
  • Jean-Paul Boetius 84' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 88' goal
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amine Adli 31'
  • goal Patrik Schick 35'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 56'
  • goal Lucas Alario 74'

Form Data

VfL Bochum 1 - 4 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Bayern 3 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 2 - 0 Mainz
Mainz 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
B. Leverkusen 2 - 4 Dortmund
Freiburg 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Augsburg
St Pauli 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 0 - 0 Union Berlin
Heidenheim 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen