MX23RW : Monday, May 12 01:56:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
Mainz logo

VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Mainz

Holtmann (84')
Krauss (45+1'), Sissoko (65'), Ordets (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Amiri (45+3'), Mwene (53'), Burkardt (73'), Nebel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 VfL Bochum
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-1 Mainz 05

Both Bochum and Mainz have been in lacklustre form ahead of this game, though given that each team has their own ambitions at stake this weekend, expect to see a close-fought contest. Additionally, the two clubs have been struggling for clean sheets in recent weeks, and both sides are likely to be on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
43.11% (0.936 0.94) 24.11% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 32.78% (-0.889 -0.89)
Both teams to score 60.08% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.061 -0.06)42.26% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)64.67% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.389 0.39)19.81% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (0.624 0.62)51.88% (-0.626 -0.63)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.55 -0.55)25.07% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-0.768 -0.77)59.75% (0.766 0.77)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 43.11%
    Mainz 05 32.78%
    Draw 24.1%
VfL BochumDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.118 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.78%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Mainz

VfL Bochum
25.6%
Draw
16.3%
Mainz 05
58.1%
43
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Burkardt (23', 69')

Hofmann (33'), Sissoko (45+7')
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mainz
2-0
VfL Bochum
Burkardt (45+3' pen., 71')
Kohr (1'), Ajorque (8'), van den Berg (84'), Amiri (88')

Bernardo (33'), Osterhage (47'), Schlotterbeck (86')
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
VfL Bochum
2-2
Mainz
Stoger (21' pen.), Schlotterbeck (82')
Bernardo (51'), Paciencia (88'), Losilla (90+5')
Schlotterbeck (59' og.), Krauss (90+6')
Barreiro (15'), Kohr (20'), Jae-sung (71')
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mainz
5-2
VfL Bochum
Jae-sung (1'), Widmer (17'), Onisiwo (28', 57', 87')
Kunde (70'), Masovic (72')
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
VfL Bochum
1-2
Mainz
Stoger (39')
Stafylidis (13'), Ganvoula (90+3')
Onisiwo (26', 77')
Stach (33'), Bell (64'), Burgzorg (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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