Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Tom Krauss 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Sissoko 65' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ordets 82' yellowcard
  • Gerrit Holtmann 84' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 45'+3'
  • goal Phillipp Mwene 53'
  • goal Jonathan Burkardt 73'
  • goal Paul Nebel 90'+3'

VfL Bochum vs Mainz 05 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2025 7.30pm
Heidenheim 0 - 0 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Myron Boadu

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 6.30pm
Mainz 1 - 1 Frankfurt
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Jonathan Burkardt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

VfL Bochum 43.11% (+0.94)
Draw 24.11% (-0.05)
Mainz 05 32.78% (-0.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.08% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.73% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 42.26% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 35.33% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.67% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.51% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.48% (+0.05)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 80.18% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 19.81% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 48.11% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 51.88% (-0.63)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 74.93% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 25.07% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 40.24% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 59.75% (+0.77)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 43.11%
Draw 24.1%
Mainz 05 32.78%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 8.04% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.51% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.86% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 3.51% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.42% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 43.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.97% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.1%
Mainz 05
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 32.78%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Jonathan Burkardt 23' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 69' goal
  • yellowcard Philipp Hofmann 33'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Sissoko 45'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mewa Arena
  • Dominik Kohr 1' yellowcard
  • Ludovic Ajorque 8' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Burkardt 45'+3' goal
  • Jonathan Burkardt 71' goal
  • Sepp van den Berg 84' yellowcard
  • Nadiem Amiri 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo 33'
  • yellowcard Patrick Osterhage 47'
  • yellowcard Keven Schlotterbeck 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Kevin Stoger 21' goal
  • Bernardo 51' yellowcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 82' goal
  • Goncalo Paciencia 88' yellowcard
  • Anthony Losilla 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 15'
  • yellowcard Dominik Kohr 20'
  • goal Keven Schlotterbeck 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 71'
  • goal Tom Krauss 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Lee Jae-sung 1' goal
  • Silvan Widmer 17' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 28' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 57' goal
  • Karim Onisiwo 87' goal
  • goal Pierre Kunde 70'
  • goal Erhan Masovic 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kostas Stafylidis 13' yellowcard
  • Kevin Stoger 39' goal
  • Silvere Ganvoula 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 26'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 33'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 64'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 77'
  • yellowcard Delano Burgzorg 84'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Milos Pantovic 56' goal
  • Milos Pantovic 59' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 80' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Jae-sung 14'
  • goal Karim Onisiwo 36'
  • yellowcard Leandro Barreiro 55'
  • yellowcard Stefan Bell 65'
  • yellowcard Anton Stach 75'