Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 2.30pm UK

Vonovia Ruhrstadion

VfL Bochum
1 - 4
Mainz

Holtmann (84')
Krauss (45+1'), Sissoko (65'), Ordets (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Amiri (45+3'), Mwene (53'), Burkardt (73'), Nebel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-0 VfL Bochum
Friday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
43.11% ( 0.94)	24.11% ( -0.05)	32.78% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 60.08% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.73% (

-0.06)

42.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

-0.06)

64.67% (

0.06)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.18% (

0.39)

19.81% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.11% (

0.62)

51.88% (

-0.63)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

-0.55)

25.07% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

-0.77)

59.75% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 43.11%

Mainz 05 32.78%

Draw 24.1%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 43.11%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.1%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.78%