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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
43.11% (![]() | 24.11% (![]() | 32.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% (![]() | 42.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% (![]() | 64.67% (![]() |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.18% (![]() | 19.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.11% (![]() | 51.88% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 43.11% | 1-1 @ 11.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.23% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 95 | 32 | 63 | 79 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 68 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 65 | 45 | 20 | 57 |
4 | Freiburg | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 55 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 54 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
9 | Stuttgart | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 45 |
11 | Augsburg | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 43 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 40 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 37 |
14 | St Pauli | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 64 | -18 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 60 | -24 | 29 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 49 | 77 | -28 | 25 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 67 | -36 | 22 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |